Lately all of the major bank counters in Malaysia are in the
lower range of price to earning (P/E) ratio and higher range of dividend yield.
Meaning that share prices are relatively cheap in comparison to the earning
amount. Also, there are a few counters that pay annual dividend of 5% and
above, which is considerably higher return that fixed deposit rate (below
3.5%). Now may be a good opportunity to buy in the shares to enjoy a good rate
of return.
Below is a comparison of the major banks in Malaysia, in
terms of earnings, dividend return and efficiency of the management. Scores are
assigned to each indicator and added up together to obtain an overall
performance score for each bank counter, which gives an indication of the bank
counters most worthy to invest in.
SECTION 1 – CURRENT EARNINGS, SHARE PRICE AND PRICE TO
EARNING (P/E) RATIO
In terms of share price and earning per share, Public Bank,
Hong Leong Bank and Maybank are the top three performers. Accordingly, these
three counters also have the highest P/E ratio, indicating they are more
expensive to invest in. However, P/E ratio below 15 is still considered as
reasonable and not too expensive. Also, as shown by the five-year earning per
share trend, it is shown that all of the bank counters have relatively steady
earning per share that does not fluctuate too much from year-to-year. In particular,
Public Bank shows an overall increasing trend of earnings from year 2015 to
2019.
SECTION 2 – DIVIDEND PER SHARE, DIVIDEND YIELD AND
DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO
Dividend payout by listed companies to shareholders is an
additional return of investment to shareholders in addition to the increase of
share values. Generous dividend payout to shareholders will attract more
investors to invest in the counter.
The recent decrease of almost all banks’ share prices
results in increase in dividend yield received by investors. In some cases,
dividend yield is above 5%, which is higher than fixed deposit rate. According
to below bar graphs. It is shown that Public Bank, Maybank and Hong Leong Bank
paid out the highest amount of dividends in the latest financial year. However,
these counters also have higher share price than others. Taking into account of
the current share price, Maybank gave the highest dividend yield of all, which
is above 6%. Maybank is also the most generous bank counter, which pays more that
75% of its earnings to shareholders in the form of dividend.
SECTION 3 – PERFORMANCE OF THE BANK MANAGEMENT
The long term success and profitability of the bank counters
will depend of the efficiency and smart strategies of the banks’ management team.
Some of the indicators offer ideas on the strength of the management teams.
Among the bank counters investigated, it is shown that
Public Bank has the most able management. It has the highest return on equity,
meaning it earns the most profit per unit of capital provided by the
shareholders. Also it has the lowest cost-to-income ratio, meaning it is able
to control operational cost to the lowest possible level. Also, Public Bank has
the lowest gross impaired loans ratio, meaning it has good system in place to
choose the most reliable borrowers, who are less likely to default on their
loans.
SECTION 4 – CASH AND ASSETS VALUES
Sufficient amounts of assets and cash are important for
security of the bank counters in case any emergency situations happen.
According to below graphs, it is shown that all banks counters investigated are
well-supported by sufficient amount of assets, such as net tangible assets
(NTA), market capital and cash flows. So, overall these bank counters are safe
to invest in.
SECTION 5 – OVERALL PERFORMANCE AND SCORING OF THE BANKS
Each of the investigated bank counters are assigned a score
based on the above indicators. For each indicator, the best performing counter
is given score 8, the second best performing counter is given score 7 and so
on. The total score for each counter is added up to give an overall performance
score of each counter. According to the below graph, overall best performing
counters are Public Bank, Maybank and Hong Leong Bank, respectively. In
conclusion to the above analysis, these are the three counters most recommended
to invest in in the banking sector.
NOTES:
**DATA BASED ON ROLLING 4 QUARTERS AS
OF 19/11/2019 AND THE LATEST PUBLISHED FINANCIAL REPORTS.
VOL: VOLUME, EPS: EARNING PER SHARE,
NTA: NET TANGIBLE ASSET PER SHARE, DPS: DIVIDEND PER SHARE,
P/E: PRICE EARNING RATIO, ROE: RETURN
ON EQUITY, DY: DIVIDEND YIELD, DPR: DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO
Latest analysis
reports of individual bank counters:
1.
MAYBANK
2.
PUBLIC BANK
3.
HONG LEONG BANK
4.
RHB BANK
5.
CIMB BANK
6.
AM BANK
7.
ALLIANCE BANK
8.
AFFIN BANK
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