COMMENTS ON KRETAM HOLDINGS BHD (1996)


FIGURE 1: KRETAM HOLDINGS BHD LAST 5 YEARS SHARE PRICE TREND

**analysis based on 2018 annual report.
1.       GENERAL INTRO: KRETAM HOLDINGS is one of the main oil palm plantations in Malaysia.

2.       NOTABLE POINTS:
a.       In 2018 report, main business segments include operation of oil palm plantations, milling and refinery.
b.      The Group operates oil palm estates in Sabah with a total planted area of 19,567 hectares and total annual fresh fruit bunches (FFB) production of 338,204 MT.
c.       The group also operates 3 palm oil mills that has a capacity of 135 MT FFB per hour and produced 108,216 MT CPO in 2018. The reported average oil extraction rates (OER) is 20.23%.
d.      The Group is also operating a refinery with a processing capacity of 1,500 metric tonnes of crude palm oil per day and a biodiesel plant to produce 300 metric tonnes of PME per day. The Group also has two fertiliser plants, one in Tawau and the other in Sandakan with a total production capacity of 60,000 metric tonnes.
e.      In terms of revenue, a 21.6% drop was mainly attributed to the low palm products prices in 2018. As for the Group, it recorded a loss of RM38.5 million. The loss before interest and tax compared to revenue generated was a result of the downtrend in commodity prices, where products were sold at a lower profit margin.

3.       IS THIS COUNTER A STRONG GROWTH STOCK? 
a.       REVENUE RANGE (RM million): 508.9 million as reported in 2018 annual report, this is a medium revenue company.
b.      SHARE PRICE: from 2015-2019, share price ranged between RM0.40 to RM0.60, except for a spike to ~RM0.80 in 2018
c.       EARNING PER SHARE (EPS): earning per share in last 5 years fluctuated from -1.66 to 0.87 sen.
d.      FUTURE POTENTIAL/PROSPECTS: share price expect to be stable in the next few years
e.      CAPITAL EXPENDITURE (CAPEX): spending on purchase of new fixed assets is RM 35.6 million, around 4% of total assets.

4.       IS THIS A STRONG DIVIDEND STOCK?     
a.       DIVIDEND YIELD: in 2018 financial year, KRETAM did not declare a dividend payout to shareholders.
b.      DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO: N/A
c.       CONSISTENCY: the dividend payout was not consistent, the dividend paid to shareholders in the last five years (2014-2018) ranged from 0 to 1 sen per share.

5.       IS THE MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE GOOD?
a.       RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE): in 2019 financial year, KRETAM reported a low return of shareholders’ equity, at -6.27%.
b.      COST-TO-INCOME RATIO: N/A

6.       OTHER INDICATORS:
a.       CASH FLOW: cash flow is positive but very low, around RM 17 million, equivalent to RM 0.01 per share
b.      SUPPORT BY INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS: this counter is not well supported by institutional investors, there are only 6 institutional investors at top 30 major shareholders list, not including insurance companies and investment funds. Its major shareholders are Datuk Lim Nyuk Sang @ Freddy Lim (47.18%) and Santraprise Sdn Bhd (19.84%).

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