FIGURE 1: AEON CREDIT
SERVICE (M) BERHAD LAST 5 YEARS SHARE PRICE TREND
**analysis
based on 2020 annual report.
1. GENERAL INTRO: AEON CREDIT’s core
businesses are in consumer financing, hire purchase installment plans for consumer
durables and motor vehicles, personal financing and issuance of payment cards.
2.
NOTABLE
POINTS:
a. In FY2020, AEON CREDIT has registered a revenue
of RM1598 million, a 17.1% improvement compared to FY2019.
b. In FY2020, AEON CREDIT reported improved
performance in motorcycle financing as well as auto financing, both of which
saw increased take-up of 25.4% and 32.3% respectively YoY. Objective financing
also saw an increase in take-up by 20.7%, followed by personal financing at
8.6%.
c. Due to higher allowance for impairment losses in
FY2020, AEON CREDIT reported a reduction of profit before tax and profit after
tax (decreased to RM390 million and RM292 million, respectively.) compared to
FY2019. Currently, non-performing loans stood at 1.92%, which is a healthy
ratio.
3.
IS
THIS COUNTER A STRONG GROWTH STOCK?
a. REVENUE RANGE (RM million): 1598.7 million as
reported in 2020 annual report, this is a high revenue company. Between year
2012-2020, the counter’s revenue has been on a significant rising trend. Likewise,
both of the Profit Before Tax (PBT) and Profit After Tax (PAT) are also on an increasing
trend.
b.
SHARE PRICE: from Jan 2016 to Jan 2021, share price
range between RM10 to RM15.
c. EARNING PER SHARE (EPS): earning per share in
last 5 years was overall worsening, whereby it decreased from 149.07 to 107.5 sen.
d. PRICE TO EARNINGS (P/E) RATIO: current P/E ratio
is 15.17, which shows that the share price is not too expensive to invest in
e.
FUTURE POTENTIAL/PROSPECTS: share price expect
to be stable in the next few years.
f. CAPITAL EXPENDITURE (CAPEX): spending on
purchase of new fixed assets and other investments amount to about RM 68.2
million, which is around 0.65% of total assets. This shows that the management
is not making a major investment in the future growth and expansion of the
business.
4.
IS
THIS A STRONG DIVIDEND STOCK?
a. DIVIDEND YIELD: in 2020 financial year, AEON
CREDIT declared a dividend payout of 44.36 sen to its shareholders, which amounts
to a dividend yield of 3.71%.
b.
DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO: The dividend-to-earnings
payout ratio is about 41%
c. CONSISTENCY: This counter’s dividend payout has
been very consistent (dividend paid to shareholders in 5 years out of 5 years)
in the last five years, whereby dividends paid to shareholders ranged from 39.86
to 60.1 sen per share.
5.
IS
THE MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE GOOD?
a. RETURN ON EQUITY (ROE): in 2020 financial year, AEON
CREDIT reported a good return of shareholders’ equity, at 17.96%. However,
previous few years ROE were even better. AEON CREDIT has been recording a
gradual decrease in ROE over the last few years, this indicates possible rise
in operating costs as well as decreasing profit earnings.
b. COST-TO-INCOME RATIO: In FY2020, the calculated
cost-to-income ratio is 309.5%. This is an increase compared to FY2016, which
reported a cost-to-income of 220.13% only. This shows that the cost of doing
business is gradually increasing, which contributes to decreased earnings.
c. DEBT-TO-EQUITY (GEARING) RATIO: Its gearing
ratio is at 493.78%, whereby its debt level is more than its equity, resulting
in a potentially unhealthy balance sheet.
d.
CASH FLOW: cash flow is positive, at around RM 66.4
million, equivalent to RM 0.26 per share.
6.
OTHER
INDICATORS:
a. SUPPORT BY INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS: This counter
is very well supported by institutional investors, there are 28 institutional
investors at top 30 major shareholders list, including EPF, PERMODALAN NASIONAL
BERHAD, KUMPULAN WANG PERSARAAN (DIPERBADANKAN), SOCSO as well as a few investment
funds, insurance funds and retirement funds. Its major shareholder is AEON
FINANCIAL SERVICE CO., LTD. (61.91%).
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